Introduction to Discrete & Continuous Probability Distributions

  ✅ 1. What is a Probability Distribution? A probability distribution describes how probabilities are distributed over the values of a random variable . Random Variable : A variable whose values are outcomes of a random phenomenon. ๐Ÿงฎ 2. Types of Probability Distributions Type Description GIS Example Discrete           Takes countable values  Number of landslides per year in a          valley Continuous          Takes infinite values over an                 interval Rainfall (mm), elevation, temperature  ๐Ÿ“Œ Discrete Probability Distributions ๐ŸŽฏ 3. Binomial Distribution ✅ Definition : Used when an experiment is repeated n times , and each trial has two outcomes : success or failure. ✅ Conditions : Fixed number of trials (n) Only two possible outcomes per trial (success/failure) Constant probability of success (p) Trials are in...

Properties of Good Estimator

 

Properties of Good Estimator

A good point estimator should possess several desirable properties. Here are some important properties of a good point estimator:

  1. Unbiasedness:

 An estimator is said to be unbiased if, on average, it gives the correct value of the parameter it is estimating. In other words, the expected value of the estimator equals the true value of the parameter. An unbiased estimator does not systematically overestimate or underestimate the parameter.

  1. Efficiency:

An efficient estimator is one that has the smallest possible variance among all unbiased estimators. In other words, it provides the most precise estimate of the parameter compared to other estimators. Efficiency is a desirable property because it reduces the variability or uncertainty in the estimation.

  1. Consistency:

A consistent estimator is one that approaches the true value of the parameter as the sample size increases. As the sample size grows larger, a consistent estimator should converge to the true value of the parameter. Consistency ensures that the estimator becomes more reliable as more data becomes available.

  1. Sufficiency:

A sufficient estimator captures all the information about the parameter contained in the data. It means that once you know the value of the estimator, there is no additional information in the sample that would provide further insight into the parameter. Sufficiency helps in reducing the dimensionality of the data while retaining the essential information.

  1. Robustness:

 A robust estimator is resistant to outliers or departures from the assumed model. It means that the estimator's performance is not unduly affected by extreme or atypical observations. Robust estimators are desirable when dealing with data that may contain outliers or when the underlying assumptions of the model are violated.

  1. Low variance:

 A good estimator should have a low variance, indicating that it produces estimates that are relatively close to the true value of the parameter. A low-variance estimator is desirable because it reduces the spread or uncertainty around the estimated value.

  1. Computational feasibility:

 An estimator should be computationally feasible, meaning that it can be calculated efficiently and in a reasonable amount of time. The estimator should not require excessive computational resources or be overly complex to implement.

These properties collectively help determine the quality and reliability of a point estimator. However, it's important to note that not all estimators can possess all these properties simultaneously. The choice of estimator depends on the specific requirements of the problem at hand and the underlying assumptions of the statistical model

 

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